Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 82.771161 92.595596 102.600711 113.521141 125.074697 136.905762 149.908205
2025-09-14 68.476602 82.787264 97.965294 115.136236 133.902691 153.681336 175.996069
2025-09-21 58.295595 74.940490 93.153969 114.305448 137.953331 163.363782 192.525040
2025-09-28 49.457596 67.492346 87.820066 111.996153 139.570622 169.693714 204.756687
2025-10-05 45.961144 65.711803 88.482650 116.044032 147.932160 183.172237 224.591921
2025-10-12 42.228778 63.238320 88.000919 118.475723 154.204115 194.104493 241.411211
2025-10-19 37.470571 59.084590 85.180926 117.868098 156.718687 200.571062 253.018303
2025-10-26 33.319694 55.343271 82.573824 117.261494 159.021008 206.620791 264.000887
2025-11-02 30.243010 52.737468 81.163240 117.921266 162.670128 214.108043 276.531130
2025-11-09 26.842454 49.423549 78.648104 117.047578 164.342070 219.177599 286.177416
2025-11-16 24.223247 46.970776 77.072988 117.202025 167.140236 225.480281 297.182430
2025-11-23 21.384214 43.972041 74.609465 116.093614 168.285204 229.739963 305.729805
2025-11-30 19.673765 42.521593 74.153405 117.527098 172.571277 237.786428 318.806901
2025-12-07 18.226143 41.352879 74.004206 119.305341 177.255509 246.300116 332.443420
2025-12-14 16.054719 38.865896 71.905881 118.436338 178.554814 250.681366 341.139642
2025-12-21 13.654371 35.769291 68.784752 116.083083 177.880619 252.593285 346.831666
2025-12-28 13.320523 36.096280 70.532647 120.213213 185.416417 264.488556 364.451761
2026-01-04 12.560685 35.620262 71.075721 122.694139 190.834718 273.793592 378.973033
2026-01-11 11.057742 33.684647 69.384646 122.074260 192.228859 278.132524 387.504127
2026-01-18 9.694965 31.852029 67.748946 121.455414 193.568207 282.363501 395.874753
2026-01-25 8.746579 30.701453 67.081696 122.128502 196.550198 288.602484 406.659952
2026-02-01 7.552692 28.914618 65.342911 121.237172 197.439820 292.209434 414.226326
2026-02-08 6.677159 27.668460 64.383098 121.394742 199.671833 297.465338 423.783621